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Bets
Shop the number. See the last five. Know why the edge is real.
Tracking
Every published pick is stored with the line at publish time. Closing line value is the close minus that line, signed for the side we took. Hit rate fills in once a result is graded.
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| Sport · stat · tier | Picks | Hit rate | CLV |
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Past slips
Mon Oct 12 slips: Smoke & BetGuru
FanDuel prices from the Oct 12 ensemble note. The Pro price is an estimated SGP, not a posted ticket. The Intermediate price is a lock floor. · Ensemble 0.8 Bayesian / 0.2 existing, 500k linked sims
Pro
Play
+6642
2.00% · EV +0.350
Headline is Moore active: ensemble 2.00%, est. SGP +6642, EV +35%. Moore OUT is 2.47% (1 in 40), EV +67%, and that Coleman leg is flagged. SGP is estimated (multiplied price × 0.90 per extra leg), not a FanDuel ticket.
Intermediate
Play
lock floor +1900
5.06% (1 in 20)
Three-model joint. The price is a lock floor, not a posted ticket.
Informational only. Lines move; confirm the price at FanDuel.